The recent presentation of the New York State Association of Counties regarding population growth reinforces what we already know: New York's population as a whole is lagging, and particularly upstate.
County population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau for April 1, 2000, through July 1, 2007, indicate that overall growth upstate is lackluster. New York's population growth was a mere 1.7 percent during that period, placing the state 43rd in the nation.
Speaking at an Albany press conference last week, Jeffrey Osinski, director of research and education for the association of counties, said: "Of the 33 counties that lost population since the last census, 32 are upstate." He noted that five counties, all upstate, grew less than 1.7 percent since 2000.
Stephen J. Acquario, NYSAC's executive director, said: "State and county leaders are concerned about our flat growth. The fact that 38 of our counties either lost population or have grown at less than the state rate ... is a troubling trend."
"If it continues," he said, "we will have fewer taxpayers to pay for an increasing number of services at a time when our property taxes are too high."
Both Jefferson and Clinton counties added population at rates greater than the state's 1.7 percent — Jefferson's 3.7 percent increase between 2000 and 2007 is largely due to the expansion of Fort Drum. Clinton's growth is attributed to high-tech industries at the former Plattsburgh Air Force Base and the county's closeness to Montreal. But they are exceptions to the trend.
The state stands to lose two House of Representatives seats or more after the 2010 Census. As population growth remains flat, upstate will cede more power to downstate in the state Legislature. And New York will forfeit more federal spending that is tied to population.
All this should provide incentive for New York state government to take steps that will encourage business growth and improve the quality of life throughout the state. And what better evidence is needed to show that upstate needs special attention?
New York needs sound leadership and vision to reverse these trends. It needs determination, cooperation and creative thinking to do so.