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Fall expected to be warmer than average

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The crisp air recently didn’t lie. Fall is here.

However, the recent temperature upswing will be a trend this season, National Weather Service meteorologists said. Fall begins today.

“For the three-month outlook for October, November and December, it looks like you have the slight chance to be above normal, temperature-wise,” Buffalo NWS meteorologist Shawn R. Smith said.

He said the Climate Prediction Center foresees average precipitation.

Other than a few abnormal days, this summer’s average temperature was 76 degrees, matching the combined June-to-September temperatures of bygone summers.

Because there is no longer a climate center in Lowville, temperatures and precipitation numbers were not readily available to Mr. Smith.

“Watertown is fairly representative of the north country, within a few degrees,” he said.

In Massena, temperatures were “just about normal” at 66.8 degrees, according to Burlington NWS meteorologist Michael J. Muccilli.

“It started off warm and wet this summer,” he said. “We had some minor flooding issues. In the past two months, it’s cooled off some.”

June was a wet month throughout the north country.

Watertown precipitation:

■ June: 6.04 inches of rain recorded, compared with 2.88 inches normally.

■ July: 2.65 inches recorded, compared with 3.05 inches normally.

■ August: 2.09 inches recorded, compared with 3.15 inches normally.

■ September: 1.72 inches recorded, compared with 2.2 inches normally.

“We ended up above normal this summer,” Mr. Smith said. “It’s nothing too extreme as far as summer goes, though.”

Massena precipitation:

■ June: 7.62 inches of rain recorded, compared with 3.52 inches normally.

■ July: 3.59 inches of rain, compared with 3.57 inches normally.

■ August: 3.61 inches of rain, compared with 3.52 inches normally.

■ September: 3.73 inches of rain by Friday, compared with 2.24 inches normally.

“You can say the summer as a whole ended up below normal, temperature-wise,” Mr. Smith said. “We broke a record temperature in July, but it’s not like we had an extreme summer where we were breaking temperature records all the time.”

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